Jesse Darley and I arrived Friday evening and walked the streets of Austin. We were immediately immersed in all things SXSW. There were music, crowds, exhibits, lines, homeless, clubbers, diners, all of it.
Plausible Futures
While excitement for the future was palpable it was tinged with generalized foreboding. The responsibility we have for what we’ve created is starting to dawn on us. Amy Webb, in her “2019 Emerging Tech Trends Report,” introduced some trends and plausible futures ranging from optimistic to neutral to catastrophic. For each scenario, she estimated the likelihood, based on her data, of these becoming a reality. In all cases, the catastrophic scenarios were rated most likely to occur. We think this because the more optimistic futures would require behavior change, cooperation, and well…optimism. Oh, and AI is no longer a major focus. It is assumed and it impacts everything tech touches.
Howard Schultz, in his keynote, expressed fears that the two-party system is fighting extremism with extremism and in the process leaving most voters behind. He imagines a different future and uses the language of startups, hoping to “disrupt the system.”
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